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In the last week or two, we had the announcement of the 2013 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2012 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

• Buffalo Bills = 5-11

How they actually did was

• Buffalo Bills = 6-10

Not too bad…

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2012 Full Results

Team	Actual	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	5-11	13-3	8-8	4-12	9-7	10-6	9-7
Atlanta	13-3	4-12	9-7	12-4	13-3 *	7-9	9-7
Baltimore	10-6	16-0	7-9	15-1	14-2	13-3	13-3
Buffalo	6-10	6-10 *	5-11	5-11	5-11	7-9	6-10 *
Carolina	7-9	1-15	2-14	6-10	3-13	10-6	4-12
Chicago	10-6	10-6 *	8-8	9-7	7-9	2-14	7-9
Cincinnati	10-6	2-14	9-7	9-7	12-4	6-10	8-8
Cleveland	5-11	11-5	3-13	2-14	1-15	10-6	5-11 *
Dallas	8-8	0-16	3-13	10-6	8-8 *	0-16	4-12
Denver	13-3	15-1	12-4	4-12	7-9	10-6	10-6
Detroit	4-12	7-9	5-11	12-4	13-3	8-8	9-7
Green Bay	11-5	13-3	6-10	15-1	16-0	16-0	13-3
Houston	12-4	5-11	7-9	13-3	12-4 *	11-5	10-6
Indianapolis	11-5	7-9	11-5 *	0-16	2-14	2-14	4-12
Jacksonville	2-14	2-14 *	8-8	3-13	3-13	5-11	4-12
Kansas City	2-14	7-9	9-7	2-14 *	6-10	5-11	6-10
Miami	7-9	4-12	7-9 *	11-5	4-12	8-8	7-9 *
Minnesota	10-6	16-0	9-7	3-13	2-14	13-3	9-7
New England	12-4	1-15	7-9	16-0	16-0	3-13	9-7
New Orleans	7-9	10-6	6-10	16-0	15-1	14-2	12-4
New York Giants	9-7	15-1	12-4	5-11	9-7 *	10-6	10-6
New York Jets	6-10	16-0	9-7	8-8	10-6	16-0	12-4
Oakland	4-12	13-3	10-6	7-9	9-7	4-12 *	9-7
Philadelphia	4-12	4-12 *	6-10	12-4	6-10	8-8	7-9
Pittsburgh	8-8	7-9	10-6	14-2	15-1	6-10	10-6
San Diego	7-9	3-13	7-9 *	12-4	7-9 *	11-5	8-8
San Francisco	11-4	0-16	3-13	13-3	13-3	6-10	7-9
Seattle	11-5	9-7	11-5 *	7-9	6-10	7-9	8-8
St. Louis	8-7	7-9	12-4	0-16	0-16	7-9	5-11
Tampa Bay	7-9	12-4	10-6	1-15	2-14	3-13	6-10
Tennessee	6-10	13-3	8-8	6-10 *	10-6	10-6	9-7
Washington	10-6	7-9	12-4	4-12	4-12	5-11	6-10

* = correct guess

2013

Now that the 2013 schedule is out, I have setup the 2013 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2013 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

• Arizona Cardinals = 3-13
• Dallas Cowboys = 7-9
• Oakland Raiders = 4-12
• San Francisco 49ers = 14-2

We’ll see how those do next year.

2013 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	2 – 14	8 – 8	3 – 13	3 – 13	0 – 16	3 – 13
Atlanta	0 – 16	9 – 7	13 – 3	16 – 0	5 – 11	9 – 7
Baltimore	4 – 12	7 – 9	9 – 7	10 – 6	5 – 11	7 – 9
Buffalo	11 – 5	12 – 4	4 – 12	4 – 12	14 – 2	9 – 7
Carolina	11 – 5	8 – 8	5 – 11	5 – 11	15 – 1	9 – 7
Chicago	8 – 8	4 – 12	14 – 2	12 – 4	12 – 4	10 – 6
Cincinnati	1 – 15	3 – 13	13 – 3	11 – 5	6 – 10	7 – 9
Cleveland	15 – 1	10 – 6	4 – 12	3 – 13	13 – 3	9 – 7
Dallas	7 – 9	8 – 8	6 – 10	7 – 9	7 – 9	7 – 9
Denver	13 – 3	11 – 5	15 – 1	16 – 0	9 – 7	13 – 3
Detroit	13 – 3	8 – 8	2 – 14	0 – 16	11 – 5	7 – 9
Green Bay	1 – 15	6 – 10	14 – 2	14 – 2	1 – 15	7 – 9
Houston	14 – 2	10 – 6	12 – 4	15 – 1	12 – 4	13 – 3
Indianapolis	9 – 7	10 – 6	8 – 8	12 – 4	6 – 10	9 – 7
Jacksonville	8 – 8	6 – 10	1 – 15	1 – 15	6 – 10	4 – 12
Kansas City	4 – 12	8 – 8	0 – 16	0 – 16	11 – 5	5 – 11
Miami	3 – 13	12 – 4	6 – 10	7 – 9	9 – 7	7 – 9
Minnesota	3 – 13	6 – 10	7 – 9	10 – 6	5 – 11	6 – 10
New England	6 – 10	5 – 11	16 – 0	13 – 3	4 – 12	9 – 7
New Orleans	14 – 2	7 – 9	10 – 6	6 – 10	11 – 5	10 – 6
New York Giants	3 – 13	11 – 5	12 – 4	9 – 7	8 – 8	9 – 7
New York Jets	16 – 0	9 – 7	2 – 14	3 – 13	12 – 4	8 – 8
Oakland	1 – 15	9 – 7	4 – 12	4 – 12	0 – 16	4 – 12
Philadelphia	11 – 5	8 – 8	1 – 15	2 – 14	10 – 6	6 – 10
Pittsburgh	13 – 3	13 – 3	8 – 8	8 – 8	10 – 6	10 – 6
San Diego	16 – 0	8 – 8	10 – 6	7 – 9	11 – 5	10 – 6
San Francisco	16 – 0	15 – 1	14 – 2	14 – 2	14 – 2	15 – 1
Seattle	6 – 10	5 – 11	16 – 0	11 – 5	7 – 9	9 – 7
St. Louis	9 – 7	6 – 10	4 – 12	8 – 8	6 – 10	7 – 9
Tampa Bay	5 – 11	4 – 12	9 – 7	8 – 8	1 – 15	5 – 11
Tennessee	0 – 16	1 – 15	4 – 12	6 – 10	9 – 7	4 – 12
Washington	13 – 3	5 – 11	9 – 7	11 – 5	6 – 10	9 – 7

The most realistic method is the David Postulate, since it does not predict any 0-16 or 16-0 teams. The most unrealistic, going by those same measures, is Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate, since it has 3 teams going undefeated and 2 going winless.

Of course, if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void.
Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void.

And who knows what will happen with Washington and RG3’s knee? The Bucs with Revis? And the Jets without Revis? No guarantees for my predictions of those teams, either.

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