Some Blog Site

In the last month, we had the announcement of the 2016 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2015 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

• Cleveland Browns = 4-12
• Miami Dolphins = 6-10
• St. Louis Rams = 9-7

How they actually did was

• Cleveland Browns = 3-13
• Miami Dolphins = 6-10
• St. Louis Rams = 7-9

Pretty good, if I do say so myself.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2015 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	11 – 5	7 – 9	8 – 8	11 – 5	5 – 11	8 – 8
Atlanta	11 – 5	6 – 10	5 – 11	5 – 11	10 – 6	7 – 9
Baltimore	9 – 7	11 – 5	14 – 2	9 – 7	3 – 13	9 – 7
Buffalo	13 – 3	12 – 4	9 – 7	9 – 7	8 – 8 *	10 – 6
Carolina	9 – 7	11 – 5	7 – 9	10 – 6	5 – 11	8 – 8
Chicago	12 – 4	13 – 3	3 – 13	3 – 13	6 – 10 *	7 – 9
Cincinnati	6 – 10	6 – 10	7 – 9	11 – 5	12 – 4 *	8 – 8
Cleveland	3 – 13 *	9 – 7	3 – 13 *	4 – 12	3 – 13 *	4 – 12
Dallas	14 – 2	8 – 8	13 – 3	15 – 1	16 – 0	13 – 3
Denver	16 – 0	9 – 7	14 – 2	16 – 0	12 – 4 *	13 – 3
Detroit	0 – 16	6 – 10	10 – 6	12 – 4	2 – 14	6 – 10
Green Bay	4 – 12	3 – 13	15 – 1	15 – 1	8 – 8	9 – 7
Houston	13 – 3	6 – 10	12 – 4	11 – 5	10 – 6	10 – 6
Indianapolis	4 – 12	7 – 9	14 – 2	13 – 3	7 – 9	9 – 7
Jacksonville	16 – 0	12 – 4	2 – 14	3 – 13	16 – 0	10 – 6
Kansas City	3 – 13	1 – 15	12 – 4	7 – 9	10 – 6	7 – 9
Miami	1 – 15	7 – 9	7 – 9	6 – 10 *	7 – 9	6 – 10 *
Minnesota	7 – 9	6 – 10	7 – 9	6 – 10	13 – 3	8 – 8
New England	7 – 9	6 – 10	16 – 0	14 – 2	13 – 3	11 – 5
New Orleans	2 – 14	7 – 9 *	9 – 7	8 – 8	6 – 10	6 – 10
New York Giants	0 – 16	1 – 15	8 – 8	5 – 11	3 – 13	3 – 13
New York Jets	10 – 6 *	15 – 1	4 – 12	4 – 12	6 – 10	8 – 8
Oakland	10 – 6	10 – 6	0 – 16	1 – 15	7 – 9 *	6 – 10
Philadelphia	5 – 11	5 – 11	13 – 3	11 – 5	10 – 6	9 – 7
Pittsburgh	0 – 16	8 – 8	9 – 7	13 – 3	2 – 14	6 – 10
San Diego	13 – 3	11 – 5	6 – 10	8 – 8	9 – 7	9 – 7
San Francisco	16 – 0	11 – 5	3 – 13	7 – 9	13 – 3	10 – 6
Seattle	3 – 13	5 – 11	16 – 0	14 – 2	7 – 9	9 – 7
St. Louis	12 – 4	12 – 4	6 – 10	3 – 13	12 – 4	9 – 7
Tampa Bay	7 – 9	8 – 8	3 – 13	1 – 15	5 – 11	5 – 11
Tennessee	3 – 13 *	6 – 10	1 – 15	0 – 16	1 – 15	2 – 14
Washington	16 – 0	8 – 8	0 – 16	1 – 15	9 – 7 *	7 – 9

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 3
DP: 1
MPWLS: 1
IPTLS: 1
DPE: 7
AVG: 1

It was a breakout year for DPE in predicting outcomes, but I think that might be an anomaly.

2016

Now that the 2016 schedule is out, I have setup the 2016 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2016 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

• Cleveland Browns = 3-13
• Jacksonville Jaguars = 7-9

Small turnout this year. We’ll see how those do next year.

2016 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona Cardinals	16 – 0	11 – 5	15 – 1	15 – 1	9 – 7	13 – 3
Atlanta Falcons	10 – 6	12 – 4	9 – 7	2 – 14	11 – 5	9 – 7
Baltimore Ravens	10 – 6	15 – 1	4 – 12	3 – 13	11 – 5	9 – 7
Buffalo Bills	0 – 16	6 – 10	8 – 8	4 – 12	6 – 10	5 – 11
Carolina Panthers	1 – 15	5 – 11	16 – 0	16 – 0	1 – 15	8 – 8
Chicago Bears	4 – 12	4 – 12	6 – 10	9 – 7	11 – 5	7 – 9
Cincinnati Bengals	4 – 12	3 – 13	15 – 1	15 – 1	4 – 12	8 – 8
Cleveland Browns	3 – 13	3 – 13	0 – 16	3 – 13	1 – 15	2 – 14
Dallas Cowboys	11 – 5	7 – 9	2 – 14	1 – 15	15 – 1	7 – 9
Denver Broncos	15 – 1	10 – 6	11 – 5	15 – 1	12 – 4	13 – 3
Detroit Lions	0 – 16	4 – 12	9 – 7	8 – 8	1 – 15	4 – 12
Green Bay Packers	4 – 12	9 – 7	13 – 3	11 – 5	5 – 11	8 – 8
Houston Texans	13 – 3	7 – 9	10 – 6	10 – 6	15 – 1	11 – 5
Indianapolis Colts	7 – 9	8 – 8	3 – 13	14 – 2	3 – 13	7 – 9
Jacksonville Jaguars	16 – 0	4 – 12	6 – 10	4 – 12	4 – 12	7 – 9
Kansas City Chiefs	5 – 11	4 – 12	15 – 1	11 – 5	11 – 5	9 – 7
Miami Dolphins	8 – 8	9 – 7	3 – 13	5 – 11	13 – 3	8 – 8
Minnesota Vikings	9 – 7	11 – 5	14 – 2	3 – 13	11 – 5	10 – 6
New England Patriots	11 – 5	10 – 6	15 – 1	14 – 2	12 – 4	12 – 4
New Orleans Saints	14 – 2	9 – 7	4 – 12	13 – 3	15 – 1	11 – 5
New York Giants	1 – 15	8 – 8	10 – 6	5 – 11	8 – 8	6 – 10
New York Jets	15 – 1	6 – 10	9 – 7	9 – 7	10 – 6	10 – 6
Oakland Raiders	4 – 12	10 – 6	8 – 8	6 -10	7 – 9	7 – 9
Philadelphia Eagles	15 – 1	6 – 10	5 – 11	11 – 5	4 – 12	8 – 8
Pittsburgh Steelers	7 – 9	6 – 10	12 – 4	12 – 4	4 – 12	8 – 8
San Diego Chargers	0 – 16	6 – 10	3 – 13	8 – 8	4 – 12	4 – 12
San Francisco 49ers	7 – 9	10 – 6	0 – 16	1 – 15	4 – 12	4 – 12
Seattle Seahawks	9 – 7	9 – 7	12 – 4	16 – 0	13 – 3	12 – 4
St. Louis Rams	4 – 12	12 – 4	5 – 11	5 – 11	6 – 10	6 – 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8 – 8	7 – 9	3 – 13	2 – 14	2 – 14	4 – 12
Tennessee Titans	11 – 5	15 – 1	1 – 15	1 – 15	11 – 5	8 – 8
Washington Redskins	14 – 2	13 – 3	10 – 6	1 – 15	12 – 4	10 – 6

I know the Rams moved from St. Louis to Los Angeles this year, but all my scripts are setup with STL so I left it that way.

Of course, if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void.

Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

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