Some Blog Site

In the last month or three, we had the announcement of the 2019 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2018 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

• Chicago Bears = 8-8
• Tennessee Titans = 8-8

How they actually did was

• Chicago Bears = 12-4
• Tennessee Titans = 9-7

The Titans prediction was close, but the Bears was not. So that’s not worth much.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2018 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	15 – 1	5 – 11	2 – 14	7 – 9	13 – 3	8 – 8
Atlanta	5 – 11	2 – 14	11 – 5	10 – 6	8 – 8	7 – 9*
Baltimore	15 – 1	10 – 6*	13 – 3	8 – 8	14 – 2	12 – 4
Buffalo	0 – 16	9 – 7	7 – 9	11 – 5	6 – 10*	7 – 9
Carolina	8 – 8	11 – 5	9 – 7	13 – 3	3 – 13	9 – 7
Chicago	8 – 8	8 – 8	6 – 10	3 – 13	13 – 3	8 – 8
Cincinnati	1 – 15	7 – 9	6 – 10*	7 – 9	2 – 14	5 – 11
Cleveland	10 – 6	12 – 4	0 – 16	0 – 16	5 – 11	5 – 11
Dallas	1 – 15	10 – 6*	8 – 8	9 – 7	3 – 13	6 – 10
Denver	12 – 4	5 – 11	2 – 14	2 – 14	9 – 7	6 – 10*
Detroit	14 – 2	11 – 5	11 – 5	9 – 7	7 – 9	10 – 6
Green Bay	12 – 4	7 – 9	3 – 13	5 – 11	6 – 10+	7 – 9
Houston	2 – 14	11 – 5*	5 – 11	3 – 13	7 – 9	6 – 10
Indianapolis	13 – 3	10 – 6*	0 – 16	2 – 14	15 – 1	8 – 8
Jacksonville	6 – 10	3 – 13	14 – 2	12 – 4	5 – 11*	8 – 8
Kansas City	6 – 10	9 – 7	9 – 7	13 – 3	11 – 5	10 – 6
Los Angeles Chargers	16 – 0	6 – 10	13 – 3	10 – 6	13 – 3	12 – 4*
Los Angeles Rams	0 – 16	5 – 11	15 – 1	13 – 3*	2 – 14	7 – 9
Miami	16 – 0	12 – 4	1 – 15	6 – 10	13 – 3	10 – 6
Minnesota	4 – 12	10 – 6	13 – 3	14 – 2	9 – 7	10 – 6
New England	10 – 6	4 – 12	16 – 0	15 – 1	5 – 11	10 – 6
New Orleans	13 – 3*	7 – 9	13 – 3*	12 – 4	10 – 6	11 – 5
New York Giants	16 – 0	13 – 3	1 – 15	0 – 16	11 – 5	8 – 8
New York Jets	3 – 13	7 – 9	6 – 10	4 – 12*	6 – 10	5 – 11
Oakland	3 – 13	5 – 11	5 – 11	4 – 12*	1 – 15	4 – 12*
Philadelphia	14 – 2	6 – 10	16 – 0	16 – 0	13 – 3	13 – 3
Pittsburgh	10 – 6	15 – 1	13 – 3	16 – 0	12 – 4	13 – 3
San Francisco	3 – 13	7 – 9	7 – 9	5 – 11	3 – 13	5 – 11
Seattle	8 – 8	8 – 8	9 – 7	10 – 6*	13 – 3	10 – 6*
Tampa Bay	0 – 16	6 – 10	5 – 11*	2 – 14	11 – 5	5 – 11*
Tennessee	8 – 8	9 – 7*	9 – 7*	9 – 7*	4 – 12	8 – 8
Washington	4 – 12	1 – 15	7 – 9*	6 – 10	3 – 13	4 – 12

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 1
DP: 5
MPWLS: 5
IPTLS: 5
DPE: 2
AVG: 6

This was probably the best year yet, as far as highest numbers correct overall. I’m not going to bother checking, either.

2019

Now that the 2019 schedule is out, I have setup the 2019 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2019 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

• Atlanta Falcons = 5-11
• Cleveland Browns = 8-8
• Denver Broncos = 3-13
• Jacksonville Jaguars = 16-0
• Philadelphia Eagles = 11-5

Looks fairly reasonable, actually. As long as Jacksonville’s draft prospects pan out.

2019 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	16 – 0	14 – 2	2 – 14	0 – 16	15 – 1	9 – 7
Atlanta	0 – 16	6 – 10	11 – 5	5 – 11	5 – 11	5 – 11
Baltimore	0 – 16	6 – 10	13 – 3	11 – 5	5 – 11	7 – 9
Buffalo	4 – 12	8 – 8	8 – 8	5 – 11	6 – 10	6 – 10
Carolina	15 – 1	10 – 6	11 – 5	7 – 9	14 – 2	11 – 5
Chicago	16 – 0	15 – 1	5 – 11	14 – 2	7 – 9	11 – 5
Cincinnati	9 – 7	11 – 5	6 – 10	4 – 12	12 – 4	8 – 8
Cleveland	12 – 4	8 – 8	0 – 16	8 – 8	8 – 8	7 – 9
Dallas	15 – 1	14 – 2	9 – 7	12 – 4	14 – 2	13 – 3
Denver	0 – 16	6 – 10	3 – 13	3 – 13	4 – 12	3 – 13
Detroit	4 – 12	3 – 13	11 – 5	4 – 12	12 – 4	7 – 9
Green Bay	3 – 13	2 – 14	3 – 13	6 – 10	6 – 10	4 – 12
Houston	3 – 13	7 – 9	2 – 14	12 – 4	8 – 8	6 – 10
Indianapolis	10 – 6	4 – 12	0 – 16	11 – 5	9 – 7	7 – 9
Jacksonville	16 – 0	10 – 6	16 – 0	3 – 13	16 – 0	12 – 4
Kansas City	11 – 5	11 – 5	10 – 6	14 – 2	13 – 3	12 – 4
Los Angeles Chargers	13 – 3	8 – 8	10 – 6	15 – 1	14 – 2	12 – 4
Los Angeles Rams	1 – 15	4 – 12	16 – 0	16 – 0	8 – 8	9 – 7
Miami	15 – 1	10 – 6	3 – 13	7 – 9	14 – 2	10 – 6
Minnesota	9 – 7	10 – 6	15 – 1	9 – 7	7 – 9	10 – 6
New England	8 – 8	3 – 13	15 – 1	14 – 2	8 – 8	10 – 6
New Orleans	3 – 13	7 – 9	15 – 1	16 – 0	4 – 12	9 – 7
New York Giants	3 – 13	2 – 14	1 – 15	4 – 12	1 – 15	2 – 14
New York Jets	8 – 8	10 – 6	4 – 12	1 – 15	7 – 9	6 – 10
Oakland	10 – 6	4 – 12	5 – 11	0 – 16	4 – 12	5 – 11
Philadelphia	12 – 4	6 – 10	16 – 0	11 – 5	11 – 5	11 – 5
Pittsburgh	2 – 14	10 – 6	15 – 1	9 – 7	1 – 15	7 – 9
San Francisco	6 – 10	2 – 14	5 – 11	2 – 14	3 – 13	4 – 12
Seattle	10 – 6	8 – 8	7 – 9	13 – 3	8 – 8	9 – 7
Tampa Bay	8 – 8	6 – 10	5 – 11	3 – 13	4 – 12	5 – 11
Tennessee	8 – 8	7 – 9	9 – 7	9 – 7	6 – 10	8 – 8
Washington	0 – 16	9 – 7	8 – 8	7 – 9	0 – 16	5 – 11

I’m still not used to having teams in LA. I hope the Raiders stay put a little longer, so I don’t have to change my template again.

Enjoy the predictions, but there are caveats: if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void. Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

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