Some Blog Site

In the last week or so, we had the announcement of the 2022 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2021 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

• Cleveland Browns = 9-8
• Washington Team = 11-6

How they actually did was

• Cleveland Browns = 8-9
• Washington Team = 7-10

Browns was close, Washington was not. Record prediction is not very reliable

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2021 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	11 – 6*	9 – 8	12 – 5	9 – 8	4 – 13	9 – 8
Atlanta	4 – 13	11 – 6	0 – 17	0 – 17	9 – 8	5 – 12
Baltimore	10 – 7	12 – 5	10 – 7	11 – 6	6 – 11	10 – 7
Buffalo	1 – 16	8 – 9	17 – 0	16 – 1	0 – 17	8 – 9
Carolina	17 – 0	11 – 6	4 – 13	5 – 12*	17 – 0	11 – 6
Chicago	13 – 4	9 – 8	7 – 10	13 – 4	12 – 5	11 – 6
Cincinnati	4 – 13	7 – 10	12 – 5	2 – 15	5 – 12	6 – 11
Cleveland	0 – 17	1 – 16	8 – 9*	12 – 5	9 – 8	6 – 11
Dallas	15 – 2	9 – 8	17 – 0	7 – 10	8 – 9	11 – 6
Denver	6 – 11	4 – 13	7 – 10*	3 – 14	9 – 8	6 – 11
Detroit	6 – 11	4 – 13	3 – 14*	3 – 14*	5 – 12	4 – 13
Green Bay	3 – 14	6 – 11	12 – 5	16 – 1	9 – 8	9 – 8
Houston	9 – 8	7 – 10	2 – 15	2 – 15	9 – 8	6 – 11
Indianapolis	4 – 13	2 – 15	14 – 3	14 – 3	7 – 10	8 – 9
Jacksonville	11 – 6	10 – 7	0 – 17	0 – 17	10 – 7	6 – 11
Kansas City	5 – 12	12 – 5*	15 – 2	17 – 0	4 – 13	11 – 6
Las Vegas	1 – 16	10 – 7*	2 – 15	9 – 8	1 – 16	5 – 12
Los Angeles Chargers	17 – 0	12 – 5	9 – 8*	6 – 11	15 – 2	12 – 5
Los Angeles Rams	11 – 6	6 – 11	13 – 4	10 – 7	14 – 3	11 – 6
Miami	12 – 5	11 – 6	6 – 11	11 – 6	6 – 11	9 – 8*
Minnesota	17 – 0	12 – 5	8 – 9*	7 – 10	17 – 0	12 – 5
New England	9 – 8	10 – 7*	15 – 2	4 – 13	12 – 5	10 – 7*
New Orleans	7 – 10	11 – 6	9 – 8*	16 – 1	5 – 12	10 – 7
New York Giants	2 – 15	8 – 9	2 – 15	7 – 10	7 – 10	5 – 12
New York Jets	16 – 1	8 – 9	1 – 16	1 – 16	14 – 3	8 – 9
Philadelphia	0 – 17	9 – 8*	11 – 6	2 – 15	5 – 12	5 – 12
Pittsburgh	13 – 4	9 – 8*	4 – 13	16 – 1	10 – 7	10 – 7
San Francisco	0 – 17	6 – 11	11 – 6	3 – 14	8 – 9	6 – 11
Seattle	14 – 3	14 – 3	8 – 9	15 – 2	11 – 6	12 – 5
Tampa Bay	8 – 9	4 – 13	16 – 1	10 – 7	7 – 10	9 – 8
Tennessee	16 – 1	12 – 5*	10 – 7	13 – 4	14 – 3	13 – 4
Washington	10 – 7	11 – 6	6 – 11	12 – 5	3 – 14	8 – 9

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 1
DP: 6
MPWLS: 6
IPTLS: 2
DPE: 0
AVG: 2

This is not like other years’ results. Oh well, next year I’ll decide if this was an anamoly or the start of a new trend.

2022

Now that the 2022 schedule is out, I have setup the 2022 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2022 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

• Arizona Cardinals = 9-8
• Baltimore Ravens = 10-7

They both look reasonable.

2022 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	11 – 6	9 – 8	12 – 5	9 – 8	4 – 13	9 – 8
Atlanta	4 – 13	11 – 6	0 – 17	0 – 17	9 – 8	5 – 12
Baltimore	10 – 7	12 – 5	10 – 7	11 – 6	6 – 11	10 – 7
Buffalo	1 – 16	8 – 9	17 – 0	16 – 1	0 – 17	8 – 9
Carolina	17 – 0	11 – 6	4 – 13	5 – 12	17 – 0	11 – 6
Chicago	13 – 4	9 – 8	7 – 10	13 – 4	12 – 5	11 – 6
Cincinnati	4 – 13	7 – 10	12 – 5	2 – 15	5 – 12	6 – 11
Cleveland	0 – 17	1 – 16	8 – 9	12 – 5	9 – 8	6 – 11
Dallas	15 – 2	9 – 8	17 – 0	7 – 10	8 – 9	11 – 6
Denver	6 – 11	4 – 13	7 – 10	3 – 14	9 – 8	6 – 11
Detroit	6 – 11	4 – 13	3 – 14	3 – 14	5 – 12	4 – 13
Green Bay	3 – 14	6 – 11	12 – 5	16 – 1	9 – 8	9 – 8
Houston	9 – 8	7 – 10	2 – 15	2 – 15	9 – 8	6 – 11
Indianapolis	4 – 13	2 – 15	14 – 3	14 – 3	7 – 10	8 – 9
Jacksonville	11 – 6	10 – 7	0 – 17	0 – 17	10 – 7	6 – 11
Kansas City	5 – 12	12 – 5	15 – 2	17 – 0	4 – 13	11 – 6
Las Vegas	1 – 16	10 – 7	2 – 15	9 – 8	1 – 16	5 – 12
Los Angeles Chargers	17 – 0	12 – 5	9 – 8	6 – 11	15 – 2	12 – 5
Los Angeles Rams	11 – 6	6 – 11	13 – 4	10 – 7	14 – 3	11 – 6
Miami	12 – 5	11 – 6	6 – 11	11 – 6	6 – 11	9 – 8
Minnesota	17 – 0	12 – 5	8 – 9	7 – 10	17 – 0	12 – 5
New England	9 – 8	10 – 7	15 – 2	4 – 13	12 – 5	10 – 7
New Orleans	7 – 10	11 – 6	9 – 8	16 – 1	5 – 12	10 – 7
New York Giants	2 – 15	8 – 9	2 – 15	7 – 10	7 – 10	5 – 12
New York Jets	16 – 1	8 – 9	1 – 16	1 – 16	14 – 3	8 – 9
Philadelphia	0 – 17	9 – 8	11 – 6	2 – 15	5 – 12	5 – 12
Pittsburgh	13 – 4	9 – 8	4 – 13	16 – 1	10 – 7	10 – 7
San Francisco	0 – 17	6 – 11	11 – 6	3 – 14	8 – 9	6 – 11
Seattle	14 – 3	14 – 3	8 – 9	15 – 2	11 – 6	12 – 5
Tampa Bay	8 – 9	4 – 13	16 – 1	10 – 7	7 – 10	9 – 8
Tennessee	16 – 1	12 – 5	10 – 7	13 – 4	14 – 3	13 – 4
Washington	10 – 7	11 – 6	6 – 11	12 – 5	3 – 14	8 – 9

I’m still not used to having teams in LA. At least I got the Raiders moved to LV in my list, so I can copy official lists now. And I also still don’t like the 17-game season.

Enjoy the predictions, but there are caveats: if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void. Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

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