Some Blog Site

In the last week or so, we had the announcement of the 2023 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2022 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

• Arizona Cardinals = 9-8
• Baltimore Ravens = 10-7

How they actually did was

• Arizona Cardinals = 4-13
• Baltimore Ravens = 10-7

Ravens was right on, Arizona was not even close. Record prediction is not very reliable

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2022 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	11 – 6	9 – 8	12 – 5	9 – 8	4 – 13*	9 – 8
Atlanta	4 – 13	11 – 6	0 – 17	0 – 17	9 – 8	5 – 12
Baltimore	10 – 7*	12 – 5	10 – 7*	11 – 6	6 – 11	10 – 7*
Buffalo	1 – 16	8 – 9	17 – 0	16 – 1	0 – 17	8 – 9
Carolina	17 – 0	11 – 6	4 – 13	5 – 12	17 – 0	11 – 6
Chicago	13 – 4	9 – 8	7 – 10	13 – 4	12 – 5	11 – 6
Cincinnati	4 – 13	7 – 10	12 – 5*	2 – 15	5 – 12	6 – 11
Cleveland	0 – 17	1 – 16	8 – 9	12 – 5	9 – 8	6 – 11
Dallas	15 – 2	9 – 8	17 – 0	7 – 10	8 – 9	11 – 6
Denver	6 – 11	4 – 13	7 – 10	3 – 14	9 – 8	6 – 11
Detroit	6 – 11	4 – 13	3 – 14	3 – 14	5 – 12	4 – 13
Green Bay	3 – 14	6 – 11	12 – 5	16 – 1	9 – 8	9 – 8
Houston	9 – 8	7 – 10	2 – 15	2 – 15	9 – 8	6 – 11
Indianapolis	4 – 13*	2 – 15	14 – 3	14 – 3	7 – 10	8 – 9
Jacksonville	11 – 6	10 – 7	0 – 17	0 – 17	10 – 7	6 – 11
Kansas City	5 – 12	12 – 5	15 – 2	17 – 0	4 – 13	11 – 6
Las Vegas	1 – 16	10 – 7	2 – 15	9 – 8	1 – 16	5 – 12
Los Angeles Chargers	17 – 0	12 – 5	9 – 8	6 – 11	15 – 2	12 – 5
Los Angeles Rams	11 – 6	6 – 11	13 – 4	10 – 7	14 – 3	11 – 6
Miami	12 – 5	11 – 6	6 – 11	11 – 6	6 – 11	9 – 8*
Minnesota	17 – 0	12 – 5	8 – 9	7 – 10	17 – 0	12 – 5
New England	9 – 8	10 – 7	15 – 2	4 – 13	12 – 5	10 – 7
New Orleans	7 – 10*	11 – 6	9 – 8	16 – 1	5 – 12	10 – 7
New York Giants	2 – 15	8 – 9	2 – 15	7 – 10	7 – 10	5 – 12
New York Jets	16 – 1	8 – 9	1 – 16	1 – 16	14 – 3	8 – 9
Philadelphia	0 – 17	9 – 8	11 – 6	2 – 15	5 – 12	5 – 12
Pittsburgh	13 – 4	9 – 8*	4 – 13	16 – 1	10 – 7	10 – 7
San Francisco	0 – 17	6 – 11	11 – 6	3 – 14	8 – 9	6 – 11
Seattle	14 – 3	14 – 3	8 – 9	15 – 2	11 – 6	12 – 5
Tampa Bay	8 – 9*	4 – 13	16 – 1	10 – 7	7 – 10	9 – 8
Tennessee	16 – 1	12 – 5	10 – 7	13 – 4	14 – 3	13 – 4
Washington	10 – 7	11 – 6	6 – 11	12 – 5	3 – 14	8 – 9*

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

ITP: 4
DP: 1
MPWLS: 2
ITPLS: 0
DPE: 1
AVG: 3

This is not like other years’ results. Oh well, next year I’ll decide if this was an anomaly or the start of a new trend.

2023

Now that the 2023 schedule is out, I have setup the 2023 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2023 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

• Los Angeles Chargers = 13-4
• Miami Dolphins = 8-9
• Tennessee Titans= 4-13
• Washington Commanders = 7-10

They all look reasonable, but who knows these days.

2023 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	6 – 11	7 – 10	2 – 15	2 – 15	7 – 10	5 – 12
Atlanta	17 – 0	10 – 7	11 – 6	6 – 11	13 – 4	11 – 6
Baltimore	15 – 2	7 – 10	13 – 4	13 – 4	7 – 10	11 – 6
Buffalo	8 – 9	14 – 3	17 – 0	15 – 2	8 – 9	12 – 5
Carolina	4 – 13	5 – 12	6 – 11	5 – 12	11 – 6	6 – 11
Chicago	9 – 8	6 – 11	0 – 17	0 – 17	7 – 10	4 – 13
Cincinnati	1 – 16	4 – 13	14 – 3	13 – 4	11 – 6	9 – 8
Cleveland	7 – 10	5 – 12	10 – 7	8 – 9	4 – 13	7 – 10
Dallas	0 – 17	6 – 11	13 – 4	13 – 4	2 – 15	7 – 10
Denver	17 – 0	10 – 7	2 – 15	2 – 15	13 – 4	9 – 8
Detroit	4 – 13	12 – 5	14 – 3	11 – 6	12 – 5	11 – 6
Green Bay	2 – 15	8 – 9	13 – 4	9 – 8	4 – 13	7 – 10
Houston	0 – 17	10 – 7	2 – 15	0 – 17	6 – 11	4 – 13
Indianapolis	12 – 5	6 – 11	0 – 17	2 – 15	4 – 13	5 – 12
Jacksonville	6 – 11	11 – 6	13 – 4	11 – 6	9 – 8	10 – 7
Kansas City	10 – 7	4 – 13	15 – 2	17 – 0	9 – 8	11 – 6
Las Vegas	0 – 17	10 – 7	5 – 12	4 – 13	3 – 14	4 – 13
Los Angeles Chargers	13 – 4	13 – 4	10 – 7	12 – 5	16 – 1	13 – 4
Los Angeles Rams	10 – 7	15 – 2	3 – 14	3 – 14	15 – 2	9 – 8
Miami	5 – 12	11 – 6	8 – 9	9 – 8	8 – 9	8 – 9
Minnesota	14 – 3	12 – 5	8 – 9	15 – 2	9 – 8	12 – 5
New England	10 – 7	5 – 12	12 – 5	6 – 11	6 – 11	8 – 9
New Orleans	14 – 3	12 – 5	11 – 6	7 – 10	12 – 5	11 – 6
New York Giants	17 – 0	9 – 8	7 – 10	11 – 6	16 – 1	12 – 5
New York Jets	13 – 4	8 – 9	4 – 13	4 – 13	14 – 3	9 – 8
Philadelphia	2 – 15	6 – 11	15 – 2	16 – 1	3 – 14	8 – 9
Pittsburgh	17 – 0	12 – 5	5 – 12	11 – 6	12 – 5	11 – 6
San Francisco	4 – 13	3 – 14	17 – 0	15 – 2	3 – 14	8 – 9
Seattle	14 – 3	15 – 2	10 – 7	9 – 8	16 – 1	13 – 4
Tampa Bay	9 – 8	9 – 8	4 – 13	10 – 7	1 – 16	7 – 10
Tennessee	3 – 14	4 – 13	4 – 13	6 – 11	4 – 13	4 – 13
Washington	9 – 8	8 – 9	4 – 13	7 – 10	7 – 10	7 – 10

I still don’t like the 17-game season, but I don’t think I’m going to be able to change the NFL’s mind on that. I’m also not a fan of the international games, but my local team never seems to get those scheduled, so no matter.

Enjoy the predictions, but there are caveats: if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void. Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

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