This is Alpha, the first-born, when he was 2YO.
This is Beta, the second-born, when he was about 2YO.
This is Gamma, the third-born, when he was about 18MO.
More Points Wins Wins
Mar
24
2011
Now that there’s no more NFL for 2011, I updated the Football Formula page to show how accurate the formulae are for years 2006 on up.
Of course, my intention was to show that More Points Wins is the most accurate method. And lo and behold, it was! Also of course, if it weren’t then I probably wouldn’t be promoting it.
Here they are, in order from most accurate to least:
- MPW – 62.0% accurate
- MYW – 61.2% accurate
- ITP – 60.8% accurate
- DPE – 58.8% accurate
- ITPLS – 57.6% accurate
- DP – 56.6% accurate
- MPWLS – 56.6% accurate
- HTW – 56.0% accurate
I went back only five seasons to get an average accuracy. I could do more seasons, but it takes a little while to gather the data for each season. So I probably won’t go back before 2006 unless someone commissions (i.e. funds) it.
On a related note, that means that you can now browse the 2006, 2007, and 2008 season predictions and results. For when you have nothing else to do.
You are wearied with your many counsels;Let now the astrologers,Those who prophesy by the stars,Those who predict by the new moons,Stand up and save you from what will come upon you.
Isaiah 47:13
