This is Alpha, the first-born, when he was 2YO.
This is Beta, the second-born, when he was about 2YO.
This is Gamma, the third-born, when he was about 18MO.
Football Winner Guesser Results – 2024
Jan
15
2025
It is time once again to update Some Blog Site readers on the results of my Some Fun Site project to create a more accurate football prediction method.
The 2024 NFL season is over, and here are the most accurate methods for predicting regular-season game results (wins-losses):
- ITP: 67%
- MPWHFA: 65%
- MYW: 65%
This was the first time in a few years that MPWHFA was not the top percentage. The NFL is setup to promote parity, with the draft setup in reverse order and teams’ schedules setup with like teams. So there shouldn’t be a big disparity with a bunch of teams at the top and a bunch at the bottom. But this year was an outlier, with more good teams having really good records and more bad teams having really bad records. Not by a huge margin, but noticeable. And that situation favored the ITP method, which follows win trends.
If you think you have a formula that can predict the winner of an NFL game better than 62.7% of the time, let me know and I’ll add it to the list.
(For the ideas behind the methods, please visit the Some Fun Site page.)
But the people who followed Omri prevailed over the people who followed Tibni the son of Ginath. And Tibni died and Omri became king.
1 Kings 16:22
