Some Blog Site

Now that there’s no more NFL for 2011, I updated the Football Formula page to show how accurate the formulae are for years 2006 on up.

Of course, my intention was to show that More Points Wins is the most accurate method. And lo and behold, it was! Also of course, if it weren’t then I probably wouldn’t be promoting it.

Here they are, in order from most accurate to least:

1. MPW –   62.0% accurate
2. MYW –   61.2% accurate
3. ITP –   60.8% accurate
4. DPE –   58.8% accurate
5. ITPLS – 57.6% accurate
6. DP –    56.6% accurate
7. MPWLS – 56.6% accurate
8. HTW –   56.0% accurate

I went back only five seasons to get an average accuracy. I could do more seasons, but it takes a little while to gather the data for each season. So I probably won’t go back before 2006 unless someone commissions (i.e. funds) it.

On a related note, that means that you can now browse the 2006, 2007, and 2008 season predictions and results. For when you have nothing else to do.

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