NFL in April 2014 •• Some Blog Site

NFL in April 2014

Apr

2014

In the last week, we had the announcement of the 2014 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2013 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

Arizona Cardinals = 3-13
Dallas Cowboys = 7-9
Oakland Raiders = 4-12
San Francisco 49ers = 14-2

How they actually did was

Arizona Cardinals = 10-6
Dallas Cowboys = 8-8
Oakland Raiders = 4-12
San Francisco 49ers = 12-4

Pretty good, except for the Cardinals.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2013 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	2 – 14	8 – 8	3 – 13	3 – 13	0 – 16	3 – 13
Atlanta	0 – 16	9 – 7	13 – 3	16 – 0	5 – 11	9 – 7
Baltimore	4 – 12	7 – 9	9 – 7	10 – 6	5 – 11	7 – 9
Buffalo	11 – 5	12 – 4	4 – 12	4 – 12	14 – 2	9 – 7
Carolina	11 – 5	8 – 8	5 – 11	5 – 11	15 – 1	9 – 7
Chicago	8 – 8*	4 – 12	14 – 2	12 – 4	12 – 4	10 – 6
Cincinnati	1 – 15	3 – 13	13 – 3	11 – 5*	6 – 10	7 – 9
Cleveland	15 – 1	10 – 6	4 – 12*	3 – 13	13 – 3	9 – 7
Dallas	7 – 9	8 – 8*	6 – 10	7 – 9	7 – 9	7 – 9
Denver	13 – 3*	11 – 5	15 – 1	16 – 0	9 – 7	13 – 3*
Detroit	13 – 3	8 – 8	2 – 14	0 – 16	11 – 5	7 – 9*
Green Bay	1 – 15	6 – 10	14 – 2	14 – 2	1 – 15	7 – 9
Houston	14 – 2	10 – 6	12 – 4	15 – 1	12 – 4	13 – 3
Indianapolis	9 – 7	10 – 6	8 – 8	12 – 4	6 – 10	9 – 7
Jacksonville	8 – 8	6 – 10	1 – 15	1 – 15	6 – 10	4 – 12*
Kansas City	4 – 12	8 – 8	0 – 16	0 – 16	11 – 5*	5 – 11
Miami	3 – 13	12 – 4	6 – 10	7 – 9	9 – 7	7 – 9
Minnesota	3 – 13	6 – 10	7 – 9	10 – 6	5 – 11+	6 – 10
New England	6 – 10	5 – 11	16 – 0	13 – 3	4 – 12	9 – 7
New Orleans	14 – 2	7 – 9	10 – 6	6 – 10	11 – 5*	10 – 6
New York Giants	3 – 13	11 – 5	12 – 4	9 – 7	8 – 8	9 – 7
New York Jets	16 – 0	9 – 7	2 – 14	3 – 13	12 – 4	8 – 8*
Oakland	1 – 15	9 – 7	4 – 12*	4 – 12*	0 – 16	4 – 12*
Philadelphia	11 – 5	8 – 8	1 – 15	2 – 14	10 – 6*	6 – 10
Pittsburgh	13 – 3	13 – 3	8 – 8*	8 – 8*	10 – 6	10 – 6
San Diego	16 – 0	8 – 8	10 – 6	7 – 9	11 – 5	10 – 6
San Francisco	16 – 0	15 – 1	14 – 2	14 – 2	14 – 2	15 – 1
Seattle	6 – 10	5 – 11	16 – 0	11 – 5	7 – 9	9 – 7
St. Louis	9 – 7	6 – 10	4 – 12	8 – 8	6 – 10	7 – 9*
Tampa Bay	5 – 11	4 – 12*	9 – 7	8 – 8	1 – 15	5 – 11
Tennessee	0 – 16	1 – 15	4 – 12	6 – 10	9 – 7	4 – 12
Washington	13 – 3	5 – 11	9 – 7	11 – 5	6 – 10	9 – 7

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 2
DP: 2
MPWLS: 3
IPTLS: 3
DPE: 3.5
AVG: 6

I guess there is some truth to the concept of “wisdom of crowds”.

2014

Now that the 2014 schedule is out, I have setup the 2014 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2014 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

Cleveland Browns = 4-12
Detroit Lions = 10-6
New York Giants = 5-11
Pittsburgh Steelers = 10-6

We’ll see how those do next year.

2014 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	12 – 4	3 – 13	9 – 7	10 – 6	3 – 13	7 – 9
Atlanta	15 – 1	8 – 8	4 – 12	2 – 14	10 – 6	8 – 8
Baltimore	16 – 0	3 – 13	6 – 10	8 – 8	14 – 2	9 – 7
Buffalo	2 – 14	7 – 9	6 – 10	4 – 12	4 – 12	5 – 11
Carolina	1 – 15	12 – 4	15 – 1	15 – 1	3 – 13	9 – 7
Chicago	12 – 4	3 – 13	6 – 10	9 – 7	4 – 12	7 – 9
Cincinnati	10 – 6	7 – 9	14 – 2	11 – 5	5 – 11	9 – 7
Cleveland	7 – 9	4 – 12	4 – 12	3 – 13	3 – 13	4 – 12
Dallas	16 – 0	14 – 2	9 – 7	8 – 8	13 – 3	12 – 4
Denver	10 – 6	5 – 11	16 – 0	15 – 1	11 – 5	11 – 5
Detroit	10 – 6	12 – 4	12 – 4	6 – 10	10 – 6	10 – 6
Green Bay	4 – 12	5 – 11	9 – 7	11 – 5	7 – 9	7 – 9
Houston	12 – 4	7 – 9	2 – 14	0 – 16	13 – 3	7 – 9
Indianapolis	4 – 12	9 – 7	12 – 4	14 – 2	8 – 8	9 – 7
Jacksonville	7 – 9	9 – 7	0 – 16	4 – 12	7 – 9	5 – 11
Kansas City	10 – 6	5 – 11	12 – 4	11 – 5	5 – 11	9 – 7
Miami	13 – 3	15 – 1	9 – 7	8 – 8	15 – 1	12 – 4
Minnesota	8 – 8	10 – 6	3 – 13	3 – 13	9 – 7	7 – 9
New England	3 – 13	7 – 9	13 – 3	15 – 1	5 – 11	9 – 7
New Orleans	2 – 14	5 – 11	12 – 4	13 – 3	11 – 5	9 – 7
New York Giants	2 – 14	7 – 9	5 – 11	5 – 11	8 – 8	5 – 11
New York Jets	16 – 0	10 – 6	1 – 15	9 – 7	14 – 2	10 – 6
Oakland	4 – 12	9 – 7	1 – 15	1 – 15	9 – 7	5 – 11
Philadelphia	12 – 4	6 – 10	13 – 3	11 – 5	8 – 8	10 – 6
Pittsburgh	12 – 4	10 – 6	10 – 6	8 – 8	8 – 8	10 – 6
San Diego	0 – 16	7 – 9	8 – 8	8 – 8	3 – 13	5 – 11
San Francisco	1 – 15	6 – 10	13 – 3	13 – 3	1 – 15	7 – 9
Seattle	15 – 1	9 – 7	15 – 1	16 – 0	10 – 6	13 – 3
St. Louis	6 – 10	8 – 8	5 – 11	5 – 11	13 – 3	7 – 9
Tampa Bay	6 – 10	11 – 5	1 – 15	2 – 14	11 – 5	6 – 10
Tennessee	0 – 16	7 – 9	9 – 7	7 – 9	3 – 13	5 – 11
Washington	8 – 8	11 – 5	2 – 14	1 – 15	8 – 8	6 – 10

I can see Seattle and Denver winning their divisions, but Detroit and Miami winning their divisions? So much for wise crowds.

Of course, if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void.
Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

Also Bakbukiah and Unni, their brothers, stood opposite them in their service divisions.

Nehemiah 12:9