NFL in April 2014
Apr
29
2014
In the last week, we had the announcement of the 2014 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.
I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.
2013 Summary
- Arizona Cardinals = 3-13
- Dallas Cowboys = 7-9
- Oakland Raiders = 4-12
- San Francisco 49ers = 14-2
How they actually did was
- Arizona Cardinals = 10-6
- Dallas Cowboys = 8-8
- Oakland Raiders = 4-12
- San Francisco 49ers = 12-4
Pretty good, except for the Cardinals.
How about the methods overall?
I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.
2013 Full Results
Team | ITP | DP | MPWLS | ITPLS | DPE | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona | 2 – 14 | 8 – 8 | 3 – 13 | 3 – 13 | 0 – 16 | 3 – 13 |
Atlanta | 0 – 16 | 9 – 7 | 13 – 3 | 16 – 0 | 5 – 11 | 9 – 7 |
Baltimore | 4 – 12 | 7 – 9 | 9 – 7 | 10 – 6 | 5 – 11 | 7 – 9 |
Buffalo | 11 – 5 | 12 – 4 | 4 – 12 | 4 – 12 | 14 – 2 | 9 – 7 |
Carolina | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 | 15 – 1 | 9 – 7 |
Chicago | 8 – 8* | 4 – 12 | 14 – 2 | 12 – 4 | 12 – 4 | 10 – 6 |
Cincinnati | 1 – 15 | 3 – 13 | 13 – 3 | 11 – 5* | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 |
Cleveland | 15 – 1 | 10 – 6 | 4 – 12* | 3 – 13 | 13 – 3 | 9 – 7 |
Dallas | 7 – 9 | 8 – 8* | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 | 7 – 9 | 7 – 9 |
Denver | 13 – 3* | 11 – 5 | 15 – 1 | 16 – 0 | 9 – 7 | 13 – 3* |
Detroit | 13 – 3 | 8 – 8 | 2 – 14 | 0 – 16 | 11 – 5 | 7 – 9* |
Green Bay | 1 – 15 | 6 – 10 | 14 – 2 | 14 – 2 | 1 – 15 | 7 – 9 |
Houston | 14 – 2 | 10 – 6 | 12 – 4 | 15 – 1 | 12 – 4 | 13 – 3 |
Indianapolis | 9 – 7 | 10 – 6 | 8 – 8 | 12 – 4 | 6 – 10 | 9 – 7 |
Jacksonville | 8 – 8 | 6 – 10 | 1 – 15 | 1 – 15 | 6 – 10 | 4 – 12* |
Kansas City | 4 – 12 | 8 – 8 | 0 – 16 | 0 – 16 | 11 – 5* | 5 – 11 |
Miami | 3 – 13 | 12 – 4 | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 | 9 – 7 | 7 – 9 |
Minnesota | 3 – 13 | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 | 10 – 6 | 5 – 11+ | 6 – 10 |
New England | 6 – 10 | 5 – 11 | 16 – 0 | 13 – 3 | 4 – 12 | 9 – 7 |
New Orleans | 14 – 2 | 7 – 9 | 10 – 6 | 6 – 10 | 11 – 5* | 10 – 6 |
New York Giants | 3 – 13 | 11 – 5 | 12 – 4 | 9 – 7 | 8 – 8 | 9 – 7 |
New York Jets | 16 – 0 | 9 – 7 | 2 – 14 | 3 – 13 | 12 – 4 | 8 – 8* |
Oakland | 1 – 15 | 9 – 7 | 4 – 12* | 4 – 12* | 0 – 16 | 4 – 12* |
Philadelphia | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 | 1 – 15 | 2 – 14 | 10 – 6* | 6 – 10 |
Pittsburgh | 13 – 3 | 13 – 3 | 8 – 8* | 8 – 8* | 10 – 6 | 10 – 6 |
San Diego | 16 – 0 | 8 – 8 | 10 – 6 | 7 – 9 | 11 – 5 | 10 – 6 |
San Francisco | 16 – 0 | 15 – 1 | 14 – 2 | 14 – 2 | 14 – 2 | 15 – 1 |
Seattle | 6 – 10 | 5 – 11 | 16 – 0 | 11 – 5 | 7 – 9 | 9 – 7 |
St. Louis | 9 – 7 | 6 – 10 | 4 – 12 | 8 – 8 | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9* |
Tampa Bay | 5 – 11 | 4 – 12* | 9 – 7 | 8 – 8 | 1 – 15 | 5 – 11 |
Tennessee | 0 – 16 | 1 – 15 | 4 – 12 | 6 – 10 | 9 – 7 | 4 – 12 |
Washington | 13 – 3 | 5 – 11 | 9 – 7 | 11 – 5 | 6 – 10 | 9 – 7 |
* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column
IPT: 2
DP: 2
MPWLS: 3
IPTLS: 3
DPE: 3.5
AVG: 6
I guess there is some truth to the concept of “wisdom of crowds”.
2014
Now that the 2014 schedule is out, I have setup the 2014 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:
2014 Summary
Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):
- Cleveland Browns = 4-12
- Detroit Lions = 10-6
- New York Giants = 5-11
- Pittsburgh Steelers = 10-6
We’ll see how those do next year.
2014 Full Predictions
Team | ITP | DP | MPWLS | ITPLS | DPE | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona | 12 – 4 | 3 – 13 | 9 – 7 | 10 – 6 | 3 – 13 | 7 – 9 |
Atlanta | 15 – 1 | 8 – 8 | 4 – 12 | 2 – 14 | 10 – 6 | 8 – 8 |
Baltimore | 16 – 0 | 3 – 13 | 6 – 10 | 8 – 8 | 14 – 2 | 9 – 7 |
Buffalo | 2 – 14 | 7 – 9 | 6 – 10 | 4 – 12 | 4 – 12 | 5 – 11 |
Carolina | 1 – 15 | 12 – 4 | 15 – 1 | 15 – 1 | 3 – 13 | 9 – 7 |
Chicago | 12 – 4 | 3 – 13 | 6 – 10 | 9 – 7 | 4 – 12 | 7 – 9 |
Cincinnati | 10 – 6 | 7 – 9 | 14 – 2 | 11 – 5 | 5 – 11 | 9 – 7 |
Cleveland | 7 – 9 | 4 – 12 | 4 – 12 | 3 – 13 | 3 – 13 | 4 – 12 |
Dallas | 16 – 0 | 14 – 2 | 9 – 7 | 8 – 8 | 13 – 3 | 12 – 4 |
Denver | 10 – 6 | 5 – 11 | 16 – 0 | 15 – 1 | 11 – 5 | 11 – 5 |
Detroit | 10 – 6 | 12 – 4 | 12 – 4 | 6 – 10 | 10 – 6 | 10 – 6 |
Green Bay | 4 – 12 | 5 – 11 | 9 – 7 | 11 – 5 | 7 – 9 | 7 – 9 |
Houston | 12 – 4 | 7 – 9 | 2 – 14 | 0 – 16 | 13 – 3 | 7 – 9 |
Indianapolis | 4 – 12 | 9 – 7 | 12 – 4 | 14 – 2 | 8 – 8 | 9 – 7 |
Jacksonville | 7 – 9 | 9 – 7 | 0 – 16 | 4 – 12 | 7 – 9 | 5 – 11 |
Kansas City | 10 – 6 | 5 – 11 | 12 – 4 | 11 – 5 | 5 – 11 | 9 – 7 |
Miami | 13 – 3 | 15 – 1 | 9 – 7 | 8 – 8 | 15 – 1 | 12 – 4 |
Minnesota | 8 – 8 | 10 – 6 | 3 – 13 | 3 – 13 | 9 – 7 | 7 – 9 |
New England | 3 – 13 | 7 – 9 | 13 – 3 | 15 – 1 | 5 – 11 | 9 – 7 |
New Orleans | 2 – 14 | 5 – 11 | 12 – 4 | 13 – 3 | 11 – 5 | 9 – 7 |
New York Giants | 2 – 14 | 7 – 9 | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 | 8 – 8 | 5 – 11 |
New York Jets | 16 – 0 | 10 – 6 | 1 – 15 | 9 – 7 | 14 – 2 | 10 – 6 |
Oakland | 4 – 12 | 9 – 7 | 1 – 15 | 1 – 15 | 9 – 7 | 5 – 11 |
Philadelphia | 12 – 4 | 6 – 10 | 13 – 3 | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 | 10 – 6 |
Pittsburgh | 12 – 4 | 10 – 6 | 10 – 6 | 8 – 8 | 8 – 8 | 10 – 6 |
San Diego | 0 – 16 | 7 – 9 | 8 – 8 | 8 – 8 | 3 – 13 | 5 – 11 |
San Francisco | 1 – 15 | 6 – 10 | 13 – 3 | 13 – 3 | 1 – 15 | 7 – 9 |
Seattle | 15 – 1 | 9 – 7 | 15 – 1 | 16 – 0 | 10 – 6 | 13 – 3 |
St. Louis | 6 – 10 | 8 – 8 | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 | 13 – 3 | 7 – 9 |
Tampa Bay | 6 – 10 | 11 – 5 | 1 – 15 | 2 – 14 | 11 – 5 | 6 – 10 |
Tennessee | 0 – 16 | 7 – 9 | 9 – 7 | 7 – 9 | 3 – 13 | 5 – 11 |
Washington | 8 – 8 | 11 – 5 | 2 – 14 | 1 – 15 | 8 – 8 | 6 – 10 |
I can see Seattle and Denver winning their divisions, but Detroit and Miami winning their divisions? So much for wise crowds.
Of course, if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void.
Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.
Also Bakbukiah and Unni, their brothers, stood opposite them in their service divisions.
Nehemiah 12:9
This little article thingy was written by Some Guy sometime around 6:38 am and has been carefully placed in the Sports category.
April 28th, 2015 at 6:22 am
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