NFL in April, 2015 •• Some Blog Site

NFL in April, 2015

Apr

2015

In the last week, we had the announcement of the 2015 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2014 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

Cleveland Browns = 4-12
Detroit Lions = 10-6
New York Giants = 5-11
Pittsburgh Steelers = 10-6

How they actually did was

Cleveland Browns = 7-9
Detroit Lions = 11-5
New York Giants = 6-10
Pittsburgh Steelers = 11-5

Pretty good, except for the Browns.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2014 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	12 – 4	3 – 13	9 – 7	10 – 6	3 – 13	7 – 9
Atlanta	15 – 1	8 – 8	4 – 12	2 – 14	10 – 6	8 – 8
Baltimore	16 – 0	3 – 13	6 – 10	8 – 8	14 – 2	9 – 7
Buffalo	2 – 14	7 – 9	6 – 10	4 – 12	4 – 12	5 – 11
Carolina	1 – 15	12 – 4	15 – 1	15 – 1	3 – 13	9 – 7
Chicago	12 – 4	3 – 13	6 – 10	9 – 7	4 – 12	7 – 9
Cincinnati	10 – 6+	7 – 9	14 – 2	11 – 5	5 – 11	9 – 7
Cleveland	7 – 9*	4 – 12	4 – 12	3 – 13	3 – 13	4 – 12
Dallas	16 – 0	14 – 2	9 – 7	8 – 8	13 – 3	12 – 4*
Denver	10 – 6	5 – 11	16 – 0	15 – 1	11 – 5	11 – 5
Detroit	10 – 6	12 – 4	12 – 4	6 – 10	10 – 6	10 – 6
Green Bay	4 – 12	5 – 11	9 – 7	11 – 5	7 – 9	7 – 9
Houston	12 – 4	7 – 9	2 – 14	0 – 16	13 – 3	7 – 9
Indianapolis	4 – 12	9 – 7	12 – 4	14 – 2	8 – 8	9 – 7
Jacksonville	7 – 9	9 – 7	0 – 16	4 – 12	7 – 9	5 – 11
Kansas City	10 – 6	5 – 11	12 – 4	11 – 5	5 – 11	9 – 7*
Miami	13 – 3	15 – 1	9 – 7	8 – 8*	15 – 1	12 – 4
Minnesota	8 – 8	10 – 6	3 – 13	3 – 13	9 – 7	7 – 9*
New England	3 – 13	7 – 9	13 – 3	15 – 1	5 – 11	9 – 7
New Orleans	2 – 14	5 – 11	12 – 4	13 – 3	11 – 5	9 – 7
New York Giants	2 – 14	7 – 9	5 – 11	5 – 11	8 – 8	5 – 11
New York Jets	16 – 0	10 – 6	1 – 15	9 – 7	14 – 2	10 – 6
Oakland	4 – 12	9 – 7	1 – 15	1 – 15	9 – 7	5 – 11
Philadelphia	12 – 4	6 – 10	13 – 3	11 – 5	8 – 8	10 – 6*
Pittsburgh	12 – 4	10 – 6	10 – 6	8 – 8	8 – 8	10 – 6
San Diego	0 – 16	7 – 9	8 – 8	8 – 8	3 – 13	5 – 11
San Francisco	1 – 15	6 – 10	13 – 3	13 – 3	1 – 15	7 – 9
Seattle	15 – 1	9 – 7	15 – 1	16 – 0	10 – 6	13 – 3
St. Louis	6 – 10*	8 – 8	5 – 11	5 – 11	13 – 3	7 – 9
Tampa Bay	6 – 10	11 – 5	1 – 15	2 – 14*	11 – 5	6 – 10
Tennessee	0 – 16	7 – 9	9 – 7	7 – 9	3 – 13	5 – 11
Washington	8 – 8	11 – 5	2 – 14	1 – 15	8 – 8	6 – 10

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 2.5
DP: 0
MPWLS: 0
IPTLS: 2
DPE: 0
AVG: 4

I guess there is some truth to the concept of “wisdom of crowds”.

2015

Now that the 2015 schedule is out, I have setup the 2015 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2015 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

Cleveland Browns = 4-12
Miami Dolphins = 6-10
St. Louis Rams = 9-7

We’ll see how those do next year.

2015 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	11 – 5	7 – 9	8 – 8	11 – 5	5 – 11	8 – 8
Atlanta	11 – 5	6 – 10	5 – 11	5 – 11	10 – 6	7 – 9
Baltimore	9 – 7	11 – 5	14 – 2	9 – 7	3 – 13	9 – 7
Buffalo	13 – 3	12 – 4	9 – 7	9 – 7	8 – 8	10 – 6
Carolina	9 – 7	11 – 5	7 – 9	10 – 6	5 – 11	8 – 8
Chicago	12 – 4	13 – 3	3 – 13	3 – 13	6 – 10	7 – 9
Cincinnati	6 – 10	6 – 10	7 – 9	11 – 5	12 – 4	8 – 8
Cleveland	3 – 13	9 – 7	3 – 13	4 – 12	3 – 13	4 – 12
Dallas	14 – 2	8 – 8	13 – 3	15 – 1	16 – 0	13 – 3
Denver	16 – 0	9 – 7	14 – 2	16 – 0	12 – 4	13 – 3
Detroit	0 – 16	6 – 10	10 – 6	12 – 4	2 – 14	6 – 10
Green Bay	4 – 12	3 – 13	15 – 1	15 – 1	8 – 8	9 – 7
Houston	13 – 3	6 – 10	12 – 4	11 – 5	10 – 6	10 – 6
Indianapolis	4 – 12	7 – 9	14 – 2	13 – 3	7 – 9	9 – 7
Jacksonville	16 – 0	12 – 4	2 – 14	3 – 13	16 – 0	10 – 6
Kansas City	3 – 13	1 – 15	12 – 4	7 – 9	10 – 6	7 – 9
Miami	1 – 15	7 – 9	7 – 9	6 – 10	7 – 9	6 – 10
Minnesota	7 – 9	6 – 10	7 – 9	6 – 10	13 – 3	8 – 8
New England	7 – 9	6 – 10	16 – 0	14 – 2	13 – 3	11 – 5
New Orleans	2 – 14	7 – 9	9 – 7	8 – 8	6 – 10	6 – 10
New York Giants	0 – 16	1 – 15	8 – 8	5 – 11	3 – 13	3 – 13
New York Jets	10 – 6	15 – 1	4 – 12	4 – 12	6 – 10	8 – 8
Oakland	10 – 6	10 – 6	0 – 16	1 – 15	7 – 9	6 – 10
Philadelphia	5 – 11	5 – 11	13 – 3	11 – 5	10 – 6	9 – 7
Pittsburgh	0 – 16	8 – 8	9 – 7	13 – 3	2 – 14	6 – 10
San Diego	13 – 3	11 – 5	6 – 10	8 – 8	9 – 7	9 – 7
San Francisco	16 – 0	11 – 5	3 – 13	7 – 9	13 – 3	10 – 6
Seattle	3 – 13	5 – 11	16 – 0	14 – 2	7 – 9	9 – 7
St. Louis	12 – 4	12 – 4	6 – 10	3 – 13	12 – 4	9 – 7
Tampa Bay	7 – 9	8 – 8	3 – 13	1 – 15	5 – 11	5 – 11
Tennessee	3 – 13	6 – 10	1 – 15	0 – 16	1 – 15	2 – 14
Washington	16 – 0	8 – 8	0 – 16	1 – 15	9 – 7	7 – 9

I can see Dallas and Denver winning their divisions, but Jacksonville making the playoffs? So much for wise crowds.

Of course, if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void.
Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

These were the divisions of the gatekeepers of the sons of Korah and of the sons of Merari.

1 Chronicles 26:19