Some Blog Site

In the last month or three, we had the announcement of the 2018 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2017 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

• Detroit Lions = 9-7
• Miami Dolphins = 6-10
• New York Jets = 5-11

How they actually did was

• Detroit Lions = 10-6
• Miami Dolphins = 11-5
• New York Jets = 3-13

Other than Miami, the predictions were close.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2017 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	1 – 15	9 – 7	12 – 4	7 – 9	6 – 10	7 – 9
Atlanta	2 – 14	9 – 7	15 – 1	15 – 1	10 – 6*	10 – 6*
Baltimore	2 – 14	8 – 8	13 – 3	7 – 9	3 – 13	7 – 9
Buffalo	16 – 0	16 – 0	9 – 7*	6 – 10	14 – 2	12 – 4
Carolina	5 – 11	5 – 11	2 – 14	3 – 13	4 – 12	4 – 12
Chicago	10 – 6	10 – 6	2 – 14	2 – 14	6 – 10	6 – 10
Cincinnati	6 – 10	7 – 9*	9 – 7	4 – 12	9 – 7	7 – 9*
Cleveland	16 – 0	7 – 9	0 – 16*	0 – 16*	15 – 1	8 – 8
Dallas	12 – 4	7 – 9	15 – 1	1 – 15	7 – 9	8 – 8
Denver	11 – 5	6 – 10	10 – 6	9 – 7	13 – 3	10 – 6
Detroit	9 – 7*	10 – 6	6 – 10	10 – 6	15 – 1	10 – 6
Green Bay	13 – 3	12 – 4	11 – 5	13 – 3	6 – 10	11 – 5
Houston	7 – 9	5 – 11	4 – 12*	11 – 5	11 – 5	8 – 8
Indianapolis	4 – 12*	12 – 4	11 – 5	8 – 8	5 – 11	8 – 8
Jacksonville	11 – 5	7 – 9	3 – 13	2 – 14	5 – 11	6 – 10
Kansas City	14 – 2	7 – 9	15 – 1	14 – 2	9 – 7	12 – 4
Los Angeles Chargers	0 – 16	3 – 13	1 – 15	3 – 13	5 – 11	2 – 14
Los Angeles Rams	10 – 6	8 – 8	5 – 11	4 – 12	4 – 12	6 – 10
Miami	12 – 4	12 – 4	6 – 10*	11 – 5	12 – 4	11 – 5
Minnesota	15 – 1	7 – 9	16 – 0	8 – 8	11 – 5	11 – 5
New England	13 – 3*	5 – 11	5 – 11	16 – 0	8 – 8	9 – 7
New Orleans	0 – 16	7 – 9	11 – 5*	5 – 11	5 – 11	6 – 10
New York Giants	3 – 13*	7 – 9	2 – 14	14 – 2	8 – 8	7 – 9
New York Jets	3 – 13	7 – 9	12 – 4	3 – 13	3 – 13	6 – 10
Oakland	5 – 11	13 – 3	10 – 6	14 – 2	8 – 8	10 – 6
Philadelphia	8 – 8	8 – 8	13 – 3*	7 – 9	12 – 4	10 – 6
Pittsburgh	0 – 16	2 – 14	5 – 11	14 – 2	6 – 10	5 – 11
San Francisco	16 – 0	7 – 9	0 – 16	0 – 16	15 – 1	8 – 8
Seattle	2 – 14	5 – 11	13 – 3	14 – 2	5 – 11	8 – 8
Tampa Bay	9 – 7	8 – 8	4 – 12	10 – 6	7 – 9	8 – 8
Tennessee	13 – 3	11 – 5	8 – 8	11 – 5	8 – 8	10 – 6
Washington	8 – 8	9 – 7	5 – 11	10 – 6	1 – 15	7 – 9*

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 4
DP: 1
MPWLS: 6
IPTLS: 1
DPE: 1
AVG: 3

This was probably the best year yet – MPWLS got 6 right and I don’t remember getting 6 right before. I’m not going to bother checking, either. But the prize this year goes to ITPLS for correctly predicting the Browns’ 0-16 season.

2018

Now that the 2018 schedule is out, I have setup the 2018 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2018 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

• Chicago Bears = 8-8
• Tennessee Titans = 8-8

Looks fairly reasonable, actually.

2018 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	15 – 1	5 – 11	2 – 14	7 – 9	13 – 3	8 – 8
Atlanta	5 – 11	2 – 14	11 – 5	10 – 6	8 – 8	7 – 9
Baltimore	15 – 1	10 – 6	13 – 3	8 – 8	14 – 2	12 – 4
Buffalo	0 – 16	9 – 7	7 – 9	11 – 5	6 – 10	7 – 9
Carolina	8 – 8	11 – 5	9 – 7	13 – 3	3 – 13	9 – 7
Chicago	8 – 8	8 – 8	6 – 10	3 – 13	13 – 3	8 – 8
Cincinnati	1 – 15	7 – 9	6 – 10	7 – 9	2 – 14	5 – 11
Cleveland	10 – 6	12 – 4	0 – 16	0 – 16	5 – 11	5 – 11
Dallas	1 – 15	10 – 6	8 – 8	9 – 7	3 – 13	6 – 10
Denver	12 – 4	5 – 11	2 – 14	2 – 14	9 – 7	6 – 10
Detroit	14 – 2	11 – 5	11 – 5	9 – 7	7 – 9	10 – 6
Green Bay	12 – 4	7 – 9	3 – 13	5 – 11	6 – 10	7 – 9
Houston	2 – 14	11 – 5	5 – 11	3 – 13	7 – 9	6 – 10
Indianapolis	13 – 3	10 – 6	0 – 16	2 – 14	15 – 1	8 – 8
Jacksonville	6 – 10	3 – 13	14 – 2	12 – 4	5 – 11	8 – 8
Kansas City	6 – 10	9 – 7	9 – 7	13 – 3	11 – 5	10 – 6
Los Angeles Chargers	16 – 0	6 – 10	13 – 3	10 – 6	13 – 3	12 – 4
Los Angeles Rams	0 – 16	5 – 11	15 – 1	13 – 3	2 – 14	7 – 9
Miami	16 – 0	12 – 4	1 – 15	6 – 10	13 – 3	10 – 6
Minnesota	4 – 12	10 – 6	13 – 3	14 – 2	9 – 7	10 – 6
New England	10 – 6	4 – 12	16 – 0	15 – 1	5 – 11	10 – 6
New Orleans	13 – 3	7 – 9	13 – 3	12 – 4	10 – 6	11 – 5
New York Giants	16 – 0	13 – 3	1 – 15	0 – 16	11 – 5	8 – 8
New York Jets	3 – 13	7 – 9	6 – 10	4 – 12	6 – 10	5 – 11
Oakland	3 – 13	5 – 11	5 – 11	4 – 12	1 – 15	4 – 12
Philadelphia	14 – 2	6 – 10	16 – 0	16 – 0	13 – 3	13 – 3
Pittsburgh	10 – 6	15 – 1	13 – 3	16 – 0	12 – 4	13 – 3
San Francisco	3 – 13	7 – 9	7 – 9	5 – 11	3 – 13	5 – 11
Seattle	8 – 8	8 – 8	9 – 7	10 – 6	13 – 3	10 – 6
Tampa Bay	0 – 16	6 – 10	5 – 11	2 – 14	11 – 5	5 – 11
Tennessee	8 – 8	9 – 7	9 – 7	9 – 7	4 – 12	8 – 8
Washington	4 – 12	1 – 15	7 – 9	6 – 10	3 – 13	4 – 12

I’m still not used to having teams in LA. I hope the Raiders stay put a little longer, so I don’t have to change my template again.

Enjoy the predictions, but there are caveats: if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void. Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

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