NFL in April, 2018
May
9
2018
In the last month or three, we had the announcement of the 2018 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.
I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.
2017 Summary
- Detroit Lions = 9-7
- Miami Dolphins = 6-10
- New York Jets = 5-11
How they actually did was
- Detroit Lions = 10-6
- Miami Dolphins = 11-5
- New York Jets = 3-13
Other than Miami, the predictions were close.
How about the methods overall?
I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.
2017 Full Results
Team | ITP | DP | MPWLS | ITPLS | DPE | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona | 1 – 15 | 9 – 7 | 12 – 4 | 7 – 9 | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 |
Atlanta | 2 – 14 | 9 – 7 | 15 – 1 | 15 – 1 | 10 – 6* | 10 – 6* |
Baltimore | 2 – 14 | 8 – 8 | 13 – 3 | 7 – 9 | 3 – 13 | 7 – 9 |
Buffalo | 16 – 0 | 16 – 0 | 9 – 7* | 6 – 10 | 14 – 2 | 12 – 4 |
Carolina | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 | 2 – 14 | 3 – 13 | 4 – 12 | 4 – 12 |
Chicago | 10 – 6 | 10 – 6 | 2 – 14 | 2 – 14 | 6 – 10 | 6 – 10 |
Cincinnati | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9* | 9 – 7 | 4 – 12 | 9 – 7 | 7 – 9* |
Cleveland | 16 – 0 | 7 – 9 | 0 – 16* | 0 – 16* | 15 – 1 | 8 – 8 |
Dallas | 12 – 4 | 7 – 9 | 15 – 1 | 1 – 15 | 7 – 9 | 8 – 8 |
Denver | 11 – 5 | 6 – 10 | 10 – 6 | 9 – 7 | 13 – 3 | 10 – 6 |
Detroit | 9 – 7* | 10 – 6 | 6 – 10 | 10 – 6 | 15 – 1 | 10 – 6 |
Green Bay | 13 – 3 | 12 – 4 | 11 – 5 | 13 – 3 | 6 – 10 | 11 – 5 |
Houston | 7 – 9 | 5 – 11 | 4 – 12* | 11 – 5 | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 |
Indianapolis | 4 – 12* | 12 – 4 | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 | 5 – 11 | 8 – 8 |
Jacksonville | 11 – 5 | 7 – 9 | 3 – 13 | 2 – 14 | 5 – 11 | 6 – 10 |
Kansas City | 14 – 2 | 7 – 9 | 15 – 1 | 14 – 2 | 9 – 7 | 12 – 4 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 0 – 16 | 3 – 13 | 1 – 15 | 3 – 13 | 5 – 11 | 2 – 14 |
Los Angeles Rams | 10 – 6 | 8 – 8 | 5 – 11 | 4 – 12 | 4 – 12 | 6 – 10 |
Miami | 12 – 4 | 12 – 4 | 6 – 10* | 11 – 5 | 12 – 4 | 11 – 5 |
Minnesota | 15 – 1 | 7 – 9 | 16 – 0 | 8 – 8 | 11 – 5 | 11 – 5 |
New England | 13 – 3* | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 | 16 – 0 | 8 – 8 | 9 – 7 |
New Orleans | 0 – 16 | 7 – 9 | 11 – 5* | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 | 6 – 10 |
New York Giants | 3 – 13* | 7 – 9 | 2 – 14 | 14 – 2 | 8 – 8 | 7 – 9 |
New York Jets | 3 – 13 | 7 – 9 | 12 – 4 | 3 – 13 | 3 – 13 | 6 – 10 |
Oakland | 5 – 11 | 13 – 3 | 10 – 6 | 14 – 2 | 8 – 8 | 10 – 6 |
Philadelphia | 8 – 8 | 8 – 8 | 13 – 3* | 7 – 9 | 12 – 4 | 10 – 6 |
Pittsburgh | 0 – 16 | 2 – 14 | 5 – 11 | 14 – 2 | 6 – 10 | 5 – 11 |
San Francisco | 16 – 0 | 7 – 9 | 0 – 16 | 0 – 16 | 15 – 1 | 8 – 8 |
Seattle | 2 – 14 | 5 – 11 | 13 – 3 | 14 – 2 | 5 – 11 | 8 – 8 |
Tampa Bay | 9 – 7 | 8 – 8 | 4 – 12 | 10 – 6 | 7 – 9 | 8 – 8 |
Tennessee | 13 – 3 | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 | 10 – 6 |
Washington | 8 – 8 | 9 – 7 | 5 – 11 | 10 – 6 | 1 – 15 | 7 – 9* |
* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column
IPT: 4
DP: 1
MPWLS: 6
IPTLS: 1
DPE: 1
AVG: 3
This was probably the best year yet – MPWLS got 6 right and I don’t remember getting 6 right before. I’m not going to bother checking, either. But the prize this year goes to ITPLS for correctly predicting the Browns’ 0-16 season.
2018
Now that the 2018 schedule is out, I have setup the 2018 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:
2018 Summary
Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):
- Chicago Bears = 8-8
- Tennessee Titans = 8-8
Looks fairly reasonable, actually.
2018 Full Predictions
Team | ITP | DP | MPWLS | ITPLS | DPE | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona | 15 – 1 | 5 – 11 | 2 – 14 | 7 – 9 | 13 – 3 | 8 – 8 |
Atlanta | 5 – 11 | 2 – 14 | 11 – 5 | 10 – 6 | 8 – 8 | 7 – 9 |
Baltimore | 15 – 1 | 10 – 6 | 13 – 3 | 8 – 8 | 14 – 2 | 12 – 4 |
Buffalo | 0 – 16 | 9 – 7 | 7 – 9 | 11 – 5 | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 |
Carolina | 8 – 8 | 11 – 5 | 9 – 7 | 13 – 3 | 3 – 13 | 9 – 7 |
Chicago | 8 – 8 | 8 – 8 | 6 – 10 | 3 – 13 | 13 – 3 | 8 – 8 |
Cincinnati | 1 – 15 | 7 – 9 | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 | 2 – 14 | 5 – 11 |
Cleveland | 10 – 6 | 12 – 4 | 0 – 16 | 0 – 16 | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 |
Dallas | 1 – 15 | 10 – 6 | 8 – 8 | 9 – 7 | 3 – 13 | 6 – 10 |
Denver | 12 – 4 | 5 – 11 | 2 – 14 | 2 – 14 | 9 – 7 | 6 – 10 |
Detroit | 14 – 2 | 11 – 5 | 11 – 5 | 9 – 7 | 7 – 9 | 10 – 6 |
Green Bay | 12 – 4 | 7 – 9 | 3 – 13 | 5 – 11 | 6 – 10 | 7 – 9 |
Houston | 2 – 14 | 11 – 5 | 5 – 11 | 3 – 13 | 7 – 9 | 6 – 10 |
Indianapolis | 13 – 3 | 10 – 6 | 0 – 16 | 2 – 14 | 15 – 1 | 8 – 8 |
Jacksonville | 6 – 10 | 3 – 13 | 14 – 2 | 12 – 4 | 5 – 11 | 8 – 8 |
Kansas City | 6 – 10 | 9 – 7 | 9 – 7 | 13 – 3 | 11 – 5 | 10 – 6 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 16 – 0 | 6 – 10 | 13 – 3 | 10 – 6 | 13 – 3 | 12 – 4 |
Los Angeles Rams | 0 – 16 | 5 – 11 | 15 – 1 | 13 – 3 | 2 – 14 | 7 – 9 |
Miami | 16 – 0 | 12 – 4 | 1 – 15 | 6 – 10 | 13 – 3 | 10 – 6 |
Minnesota | 4 – 12 | 10 – 6 | 13 – 3 | 14 – 2 | 9 – 7 | 10 – 6 |
New England | 10 – 6 | 4 – 12 | 16 – 0 | 15 – 1 | 5 – 11 | 10 – 6 |
New Orleans | 13 – 3 | 7 – 9 | 13 – 3 | 12 – 4 | 10 – 6 | 11 – 5 |
New York Giants | 16 – 0 | 13 – 3 | 1 – 15 | 0 – 16 | 11 – 5 | 8 – 8 |
New York Jets | 3 – 13 | 7 – 9 | 6 – 10 | 4 – 12 | 6 – 10 | 5 – 11 |
Oakland | 3 – 13 | 5 – 11 | 5 – 11 | 4 – 12 | 1 – 15 | 4 – 12 |
Philadelphia | 14 – 2 | 6 – 10 | 16 – 0 | 16 – 0 | 13 – 3 | 13 – 3 |
Pittsburgh | 10 – 6 | 15 – 1 | 13 – 3 | 16 – 0 | 12 – 4 | 13 – 3 |
San Francisco | 3 – 13 | 7 – 9 | 7 – 9 | 5 – 11 | 3 – 13 | 5 – 11 |
Seattle | 8 – 8 | 8 – 8 | 9 – 7 | 10 – 6 | 13 – 3 | 10 – 6 |
Tampa Bay | 0 – 16 | 6 – 10 | 5 – 11 | 2 – 14 | 11 – 5 | 5 – 11 |
Tennessee | 8 – 8 | 9 – 7 | 9 – 7 | 9 – 7 | 4 – 12 | 8 – 8 |
Washington | 4 – 12 | 1 – 15 | 7 – 9 | 6 – 10 | 3 – 13 | 4 – 12 |
I’m still not used to having teams in LA. I hope the Raiders stay put a little longer, so I don’t have to change my template again.
Enjoy the predictions, but there are caveats: if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void. Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.
As for Gad, raiders shall raid him, But he will raid at their heels.
Genesis 49:19
This little article thingy was written by Some Guy sometime around 6:53 am and has been carefully placed in the Sports category.