Archive for the ‘Sports’ Category

NFL in April, 2016

In the last month, we had the announcement of the 2016 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2015 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

  • Cleveland Browns = 4-12
  • Miami Dolphins = 6-10
  • St. Louis Rams = 9-7

How they actually did was

  • Cleveland Browns = 3-13
  • Miami Dolphins = 6-10
  • St. Louis Rams = 7-9

Pretty good, if I do say so myself.

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Cam’s Many Talents

There has been much hype over the celebration antics of one Cam Newton. I have found, though, that Cam is really a talented actor. Watch as he demonstrates his versatility by the following scenarios:

Drama

image of Cam Newton pretending to be a spectator at the crash of the Hindenberg

Romance

image of Cam Newton swooning at the sight of his heartthrob

Action

image of Cam Newton looking for a crash survivor from a plane

Horror

image of Cam Newton hiding his eyes at the scary part of a movie

Public Service Announcement

image of Cam Newton showing how to cough or sneeze into an elbow

Any other ideas of what else Cam could be demonstrating?

Then the whole assembly decided to celebrate the feast another seven days, so they celebrated the seven days with joy.

2 Chronicles 30:23

Wins by Quarterback

With much ado made about a certain quarterback’s attainment of 200 career wins in the Super Bowl earlier this week, I thought I’d throw together a chart of career wins.

Quarterback career Wins by Year

chart of quarterback wins by year of career

This is based on the list of top 25 quarterbacks, ranked by most career wins.

I don’t know what one is supposed to learn from this, but here are some things I noticed.

  • Both Brady and Manning would have been even farther ahead of everyone else if they didn’t each have one year out due to injury.
  • Marino had the best start, but the second quarter of his career made up for that.
  • Don’t know that anyone will catch Favre for longevity.
  • Elway has the best finish, as far as slope of his chart line goes.
  • As far as the slowest start goes, I’m not sure if that award goes to Steve Young or Len Dawson.

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All Over That

Here is a rare photo of Reggie White covering Jerry Rice. He’s all over him, as the sportscasters would say.

image of Reggie White covering Jerry Rice - the football version of White on Rice

The photo is rare because I made it up – pieced it together from other photos. I just wanted to make that pun.

And his appearance was like lightning, and his clothing as white as snow.

Matthew 28:3

All-Haiku Bowl Results, 2015

Okay, okay, it is 2016 at this point, but the results are headlines as 2015 because they match with the 2015 predictions made in 2015 for the 2015 season. Also, the results are not all-haiku, just the predictions were. A more accurate title would be “Results for the All-Haiku Predictions made in 2015”.

Before the bowl games commenced for this past college football season, I made some predictions. Here, for your reading enjoyment, is the tally of those predictions. Note that the results are not in haiku form, in contrast to the predictions.

Results

Here is the list (correct predictions in green, incorrect in red):

Arizona over New Mexico

Utah over BYU

App. St. over Ohio

SJSU over Georgia St.

Arkansas St. over La. Tech

WKU over USF

Utah St. over Akron

Temple over Toledo

NIU over BSU

BG over Georgia So.

WMU over MTSU

Cincinnati over SDSU

Connecticut over Marshall

Washington St. over Miami FL

Southern Miss over Washington

Duke over Indiana

VT over Tulsa

UCLA over Nebraska

Navy over Pitt

CMU over Minnesota

Air Force over Cal

UNC over Baylor

Nevada over Colorado St.

LSU over Texas Tech

Memphis over Auburn

Mississippi St. over NC St.

Texas AM over Louisville

Wisconsin over USC

Houston over FSU

Clemson over Oklahoma

Michigan St. over Alabama

Northwestern over Tennessee

Michigan over Florida

ND over Ohio St.

Iowa over Stanford

Ok. St. over Mississippi

Georgia over Penn St.

Arkansas over KSU

TCU over Oregon

WVU over Arizona St.

Clemson over Michigan State

And here are the results of the various forecasting methodologies (see the first year for description of the methodologies) (also, use the word methodologies if you want to sound important; methods would work just as well and is shorter) :

  • Some Blog Site picks were 21-19 (similar to last year)
  • CBS120 picks were 24-16
  • HTW was 24-16 for the official Home Team Wins (HTW)
  • HTW was 20-20 for the Geographical Home Team (GHT)
  • Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate (ITP) was 24-20 if using HTW
  • ITP was 20-20 if using GHT

I won’t analyze the results as much as I did last year, mainly because I had more time and more sleep last year. But it was a decent year for all predictors – every method was at or over 50%. I just need to figure how to better predict outcomes. Especially against the spread.

Because of the disparities between institutions and between conferences, it is tougher to predict bowl games than NFL games. But one thing seems to be pretty consistent: if you don’t want to do a lot of research, just pick the home team.

Thoughts on the season’s results

Last year, we could have used an 8-team playoff. This year, I’m happy with the 4 teams. If we’re going to stick with 4 teams, then the non-conference games during the season should be with a similar conference (e.g. Big 12 teams would play B1G or SEC teams). You don’t need 4 games against cupcakes. How about 2 cupcakes and 2 interconference games?

Conferences

Since the strength of the conference has something to do with the results, I thought I would tally each conference’s bowl game record for the 2015 (and the first bit of 2016) season.

  • AAC: 2-6
  • ACC: 4-6*
  • Big 10: 5-5
  • Big 12: 3-4
  • Independent: 0-2
  • MAC: 3-4
  • MW: 4-4
  • PAC12: 6-4
  • SEC: 9-2*
  • Sun Belt: 2-2
  • USA: 3-2

* additional win/loss due to playoff + championship game

Normally, I take this spot to write different sentences each claiming a different conference as the best because of some different statistic. But this year, no conference could beat the SEC in any stat – they won the most bowl games, they won the championship, and they tied for most teams sent to bowls. So, I must admit that the SEC is the uncontested best conference in NCAA DIV I football.

Next year: playoffs again! A chance for someone other than the SEC to win!

Then the king of Israel said to Jehoshaphat, “Did I not tell you that he would not prophesy good concerning me, but evil?”

1 Kings 22:18

Football Winner Guesser Results – 2015

It is time once again to update Some Blog Site readers on the results of my Some Fun Site project to create a more accurate football prediction method.

The 2015 NFL season is over, and here are the most accurate methods for predicting regular-season game results (wins-losses):

  • MPWHFA: 63%
  • ITPLS: 61%
  • MPW: 61%
  • YPP: 61%

ITPLS is listed first because it was one game better than MPW, and MPW was one game better than YPP.

No new prediction methods this year. Either no one could find a better method, or they did but they have moved to Vegas instead of commenting on this blog.

And if you think you have a formula that can predict the winner of an NFL game better than 63.7% of the time, let me know and I’ll add it to the list.

Now the coastlands will tremble on the day of your fall; Yes, the coastlands which are by the sea will be terrified at your passing.

Ezekiel 26:18

All-Haiku Bowl Predictions, 2015

Based on the popularity existence of last year’s article predicting bowl games in haiku form, I present to you this year’s all-haiku bowl game predictions. Still America’s only all-haiku college football bowl game predictions.

These are listed in order of date (earliest first). Some picks are whom I think will win, and some picks are whom I want to win. I’ll leave it to you, the reader, to decide which is which.
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