This is Alpha, the first-born, when he was 2YO.
This is Beta, the second-born, when he was about 2YO.
This is Gamma, the third-born, when he was about 18MO.
All-Haiku Bowl Results, 2011
Jan
10
2012
Okay, okay, it is 2012 at this point, but the results are headlines as 2011 because they match with the 2011 predictions made in 2011 for the 2011 season. Also, the results are not all-haiku, just the predictions were. A more accurate title would be “Results for the All-Haiku Predictions made in 2011”.
Before the bowl games commenced for this past college football season, I made some predictions. Here, for your reading enjoyment, is the tally of those predictions. Note that the results are not in haiku form, in contrast to the predictions.
Results
Here is the list (correct predictions in green, incorrect in red):
Wyoming over Temple
Utah St. over Ohio
San Diego St. over Louisiana-Lafayette
Florida International over Marshall
TCU over Louisiana Tech
Boise St. over Arizona St.
Southern Miss. over Nevada
Missouri over North Carolina
Purdue over Western Michigan
NC State over Louisville
Air Force over Toledo
Texas over Cal
Notre Dame over Florida St.
Baylor over Washington
Tulsa over Brigham Young
Rutgers over Iowa St.
Miss. St. over Wake Forest
Oklahoma over Iowa
Northwestern over Texas A&M
Utah over Georgia Tech
Cincinnati over Vanderbilt
UCLA over Illinois
Virginia over Auburn
Houston over Penn St.
Michigan State over Georgia
Nebraska over South Carolina
Florida over Ohio St.
Oregon over Wisconsin
Stanford over Oklahoma St.
Michigan over Virginia Tech.
West Virginia over Clemson
Arkansas over Kansas St.
Pittsburgh over Southern Methodist
Northern Illinois over Arkansas St.
Louisiana St. over Alabama
And here are the results of the various forecasting methodologies (see the first year for description of the methodologies) (also, use the word methodologies if you want to sound important; methods would work just as well and is shorter) :
- Some Blog Site picks were 21-14 (better than last year!)
- CBS120 picks were 22-13
- HTW was 18-17 for the official Home Team Wins (HTW)
- HTW was 20-15 for the Geographical Home Team (GHT)
- Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate (ITP) was 21-14 if using HTW
- ITP was 22-13 if using GHT
I won’t analyze the results as much as I did last year, mainly because I had more time and more sleep last year. But it was a good year all predictors – every method was over 50%. And my predictions keep getting better. At this rate, I’ll be 100% correct by the year 2018.
Thoughts on the season’s results
- That was a nice playoff round. Now let’s have the championship game between Alabama and OK State.
- The B1G is going to have another championship game next year. We don’t know who will be in it, but we do know who won’t be in it…
- You know what? – we should just skip the national championship game and give the title to the winner of the SEC again. I predicted as much last year, so let’s keep the streak going.
Conferences
Since the strength of the conference has something to do with the results, I thought I would tally each conference’s bowl game record for the 2011 (and the first bit of 2012) season.
- ACC: 2-6
- Big 10: 4-6
- Big 12: 6-2
- Big East: 3-2
- Independent: 1-1
- MAC: 4-1
- MW: 2-3
- PAC12: 2-5
- SEC: 6-3
- Sun Belt: 1-2
- USA: 4-1
- WAC: 0-3
So the best conference was the MAC or Conference USA (they won 80% of their bowl games) and the worst was the WAC because they didn’t win any of their bowl games.
The WAC sent the fewest teams to bowl games again this year (tied with Sun Belt). So maybe those two conferences were the worst.
Perhaps you could say that the B1G was the best because they had ten teams go to bowls. Or you could say the B1G was just the most popular conference.
Perhaps you could say that the SEC was the best because they won the championship (again). Or maybe the SEC is tied with the Big 12 for the best conference because they both won the most bowls (at 6).
I don’t know what happened to the MWC. They used to win their bowl games, and Boise St. was supposed to strengthen the conference. They ended below 0.500 in bowls this year though.
Since the conferences are going to change slightly for next football season, who knows which the strong bowl conferences will be? But if I must predict, I’m saying Conf. USA won’t win 80% of its bowl games again. I’ll also throw in the standard prediction that the SEC will win the BCS again.
In his place a despicable person will arise, on whom the honor of kingship has not been conferred, but he will come in a time of tranquility and seize the kingdom by intrigue.
Daniel 11:21
