All-Haiku Bowl Results, 2012
Jan
8
2013
Okay, okay, it is 2013 at this point, but the results are headlines as 2012 because they match with the 2012 predictions made in 2012 for the 2012 season. Also, the results are not all-haiku, just the predictions were. A more accurate title would be “Results for the All-Haiku Predictions made in 2012”.
Before the bowl games commenced for this past college football season, I made some predictions. Here, for your reading enjoyment, is the tally of those predictions. Note that the results are not in haiku form, in contrast to the predictions.
Results
Here is the list (correct predictions in green, incorrect in red):
Arizona over Nevada
Utah St. over Toledo
San Diego St. over BYU
Central Florida over Ball St.
Louisiana-Lafayette over East Carolina
Boise St.over Washington
Fresno St. over SMU
Western Kentucky over Central Michigan
Cincinnati over Duke
San Jose St. over Bowling Green
UCLA over Baylor
Rutgers over Virginia Tech
Texas Tech over Minnesota
Ohio over Louisiana-Monroe
Oregon St. over Texas
Air Force over Rice
West Virginia over Syracuse
Arizona St. over Navy
TCU over Michigan St.
Southern Cal over Georgia Tech
Vanderbilt over N. Carolina St.
Iowa St. over Tulsa
LSU over Clemson
Oklahoma St. over Purdue
Michigan over South Carolina
Georgia over Nebraska
Northwestern over Mississippi St.
Stanford over Wisconsin
Florida St. over Northern Illinois
Florida over Louisville
Kansas St. over Oregon
Texas A&M over Oklahoma
Pitt over Mississippi
Arkansas St. over Kent St.
Notre Dame over Alabama
And here are the results of the various forecasting methodologies (see the first year for description of the methodologies) (also, use the word methodologies if you want to sound important; methods would work just as well and is shorter) :
- Some Blog Site picks were 18-17 (worse than last year)
- CBS120 picks were 19-16
- HTW was 21-14 for the official Home Team Wins (HTW)
- HTW was 24-11 for the Geographical Home Team (GHT)
- Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate (ITP) was 17-18 if using HTW
- ITP was 19-16 if using GHT
I won’t analyze the results as much as I did last year, mainly because I had more time and more sleep last year. But it was a good year all predictors – every method was over 50%. I just need to figure how to better predict outcomes. Especially against the spread.
Thoughts on the season’s results
- That was a nice playoff round. Now let’s have the championship game between Alabama and Texas A&M. I know the BCS has Oregon as the number 2 team, but I think the Aggies could beat the Ducks. Too bad we’ll never know…
- You know what? – we should just skip the national championship game and give the title to the winner of the SEC again. I predicted as much last year, so let’s keep the streak going.
Conferences
Since the strength of the conference has something to do with the results, I thought I would tally each conference’s bowl game record for the 2012 (and the first bit of 2013) season.
- ACC: 4-2
- Big 10: 2-5
- Big 12: 4-5
- Big East: 3-2
- Independent: 1-2
- MAC: 2-5
- MW: 1-4
- PAC12: 4-4
- SEC: 6-3
- Sun Belt: 2-2
- USA: 4-1
- WAC: 2-0
So the best conference was the WAC (they won 100% of their bowl games) and the worst was the Mountain West (at 20% – if you are not Boise St., then you didn’t win).
Or maybe the WAC is the worst conference because they sent the fewest teams to bowl games again this year.
Perhaps you could say that the Big 12 and SEC were the best because they had 9 teams go to bowls. Or you could say they were just the most popular conferences.
Perhaps you could say that the SEC was the best because they won the championship (again). Or maybe the SEC is the best because they won the most bowls (at 6).
I don’t know what happened to the MWC. They used to win their bowl games, and Boise St. was supposed to strengthen the conference. They ended below 0.500 in bowls this year again.
Since the conferences are going to change slightly for next football season, who knows which the strong bowl conferences will be? But if I must predict, I’m saying Conf. USA will win 80% of its bowl games again. I’ll also make the standard prediction that the SEC will win the BCS again.
Bring me some game and prepare a savory dish for me, that I may eat, and bless you in the presence of the LORD before my death.
Genesis 27:7